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Logan Thomas

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 13.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • As it relates to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Philadelphia's DT corps has been very good this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

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