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Logan Thomas

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 13.6% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

The Commanders are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to pass on 70.3% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Logan Thomas to garner 6.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-slowest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Washington Commanders.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.1 per game) this year.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Dallas's collection of LBs has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

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