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Logan Thomas

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-113/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will be rolling out backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.2 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Logan Thomas to accrue 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Logan Thomas has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (60.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (82.5%).

The Washington Commanders O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Logan Thomas's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 72.2% to 63.6%.

Logan Thomas's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, notching a measly 5.58 yards-per-target vs a 7.86 figure last season.

More Logan Thomas Player Props

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