Logan Thomas Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Logan Thomas

NFL · Player Props

Logan Thomas

TE · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 4:00 PM UTC

Analysis

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-119/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 67.0 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Logan Thomas to notch 4.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among TEs.
Logan Thomas has put up a colossal 38.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among tight ends.
The Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (84.0) to tight ends this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Commanders to run the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Logan Thomas's 26.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 42.1.
The Washington Commanders offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Logan Thomas's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 72.2% to 64.6%.
Logan Thomas's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, compiling just 5.54 yards-per-target compared to a 7.86 figure last year.

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