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Logan Thomas

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Logan Thomas to garner 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among TEs.
  • Logan Thomas has posted a whopping 28.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among tight ends.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Completion% in football (78.7%) vs. tight ends this year (78.7%).
  • The New York Giants pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. TEs this year, giving up 9.11 yards-per-target to the position: the most in football.
  • The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.22 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in football.
  • Logan Thomas has run fewer routes this year (63.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (82.5%).

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