Logan Thomas Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Logan Thomas

NFL · Player Props

Logan Thomas

TE · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 7:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be rolling with backup QB Taylor Heinicke this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Logan Thomas has put up a whopping 29.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among tight ends.
The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (55.0) to TEs this year.
The Houston Texans safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Commanders are an enormous 11.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders offense as the 7th-worst paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.11 seconds per play.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
Logan Thomas has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (62.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (82.5%).

More Logan Thomas Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow