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Logan Thomas

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Washington Commanders will be starting backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the least pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • Logan Thomas has been used less as a potential target this year (61.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (82.5%).
  • The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Logan Thomas's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 72.2% to 58.2%.
  • Logan Thomas's receiving efficiency has tailed off this season, totaling a mere 5.11 yards-per-target compared to a 7.86 mark last season.

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