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Logan Thomas

Logan Thomas Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

Logan Thomas Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+395/-835).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +406 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +395.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.

Logan Thomas has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 16.2% this year, which places him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.

Logan Thomas has accumulated a whopping 28.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among TEs.

The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in the NFL (79.4%) vs. TEs this year (79.4%).

The New York Giants linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

Logan Thomas's 25.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 42.1.

The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Logan Thomas's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 72.2% to 62.3%.

More Logan Thomas Player Props

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