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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+171/-227).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +182 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +171.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL has been the Broncos.
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 47.6% Route Participation% this year illustrates an impressive progression in his air attack volume over last year's 34.7% figure.
  • The Denver offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all air attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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