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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-205/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -159 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 138.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 21.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 10.7.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's pass-catching performance been refined this year, compiling 2.4 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 1.2 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Broncos to pass on 54.4% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.1%) versus wide receivers this year (59.1%).

More Lil'Jordan Humphrey Player Props

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