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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game.

The Broncos have been the 9th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 131.3 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 22.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 10.7.

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.9%) to wide receivers this year (60.9%).

When it comes to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Kansas City's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Lil'Jordan Humphrey Player Props

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