Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

NFL · Player Props

Lil'Jordan Humphrey

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Denver Broncos ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
The Detroit Lions cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

With a 58.6% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Denver Broncos.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
With a poor 3.3% Target Share (14th percentile) this year, Lil'Jordan Humphrey stands among the WRs with the highest volume in the NFL.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey profiles as one of the weakest wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 1.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 13th percentile among wide receivers.

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