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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (48.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (34.7%).

Lil'Jordan Humphrey has posted far more air yards this year (18.0 per game) than he did last year (12.0 per game).

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.

With a fantastic 72.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (79th percentile) this year, Lil'Jordan Humphrey places as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.

With a weak 6.8 adjusted yards per target (13th percentile) this year, Lil'Jordan Humphrey places among the bottom WRs in the league in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Indianapolis's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More Lil'Jordan Humphrey Player Props

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