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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At only 27.94 seconds per snap, the Denver Broncos offense checks in as the 8th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 50.2% Route% this year indicates a significant gain in his passing attack usage over last year's 34.7% mark.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey has notched far more air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (12.0 per game).

The Broncos O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The leading projections forecast the Broncos to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.8 per game) this year.

This year, the fierce Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed a feeble 122.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

This year, the strong Raiders defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a feeble 7.2 yards.

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