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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.

The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.9 per game) this year.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 51.2% Route Participation% this year signifies a significant progression in his passing attack usage over last year's 34.7% mark.

After accumulating 12.0 air yards per game last year, Lil'Jordan Humphrey has produced significantly more this year, now pacing 21.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to pass on 55.2% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey checks in as one of the least efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a measly 6.99 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 19th percentile when it comes to wideouts

The Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 2.89 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.

The Falcons linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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