My Account Log Out

reorder

Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game.

The Broncos have been the 9th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 131.3 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey has put up many more air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (12.0 per game).

Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 22.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 10.7.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Lil'Jordan Humphrey comes in as one of the least effective receivers in football, averaging a lowly 6.87 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 20th percentile when it comes to wideouts

This year, the imposing Chiefs defense has surrendered a meager 118.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

This year, the formidable Chiefs defense has conceded the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 7.0 yards.

When it comes to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Kansas City's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Lil'Jordan Humphrey Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™