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Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to accumulate 13.3 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
  • Leonard Fournette has grinded out 54.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in football among running backs (76th percentile).
  • The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 31.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to be a less important option in his offense's running game this week (65.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (77.9% in games he has played).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Leonard Fournette's rushing effectiveness has declined this year, notching a measly 3.66 yards-per-carry compared to a 5.01 figure last year.

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