Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Leonard Fournette

NFL · Player Props

Leonard Fournette

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per snap.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have incorporated motion in their offense on 45.6% of their plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 2nd-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 32.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game this week (41.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (64.9% in games he has played).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
Leonard Fournette has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).

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