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Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+130/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 62.9 plays per game.

Opposing squads have run for the most yards in the NFL (133 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.

The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 34.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to be much less involved in his offense's run game this week (44.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (66.0% in games he has played).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year at blocking for the run game.

Leonard Fournette has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).

More Leonard Fournette Player Props

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