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Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+107/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to accumulate 12.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (140 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends profile as the 8th-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack this week (53.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.7% in games he has played).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Leonard Fournette has run for quite a few less yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).

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