Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Leonard Fournette

NFL · Player Props

Leonard Fournette

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:26 PM EST

Analysis

Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (+107/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to accumulate 12.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
Opposing squads have run for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (140 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends profile as the 8th-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack this week (53.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (72.7% in games he has played).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
Leonard Fournette has run for quite a few less yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (60.0).

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