Leonard Fournette Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Leonard Fournette

NFL · Player Props

Leonard Fournette

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing TD

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 27, 2022 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Leonard Fournette Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.7 plays per game.
Leonard Fournette has earned 80.0% of his team's red zone carries this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 7th-most TDs in the league (1.14 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
The Baltimore Ravens linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the least run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 33.7% red zone run rate.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box versus opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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