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Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Leonard Fournette Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-157).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 4th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.

Leonard Fournette has earned 74.5% of his offense's red zone carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile among running backs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Leonard Fournette has rushed for 0.50 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (90th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 2nd-least run-centric offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 37.8% red zone run rate.

Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-least touchdowns in football (0.78 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season.

The New Orleans Saints defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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