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Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Leonard Fournette Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Leonard Fournette has run a route on 61.6% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to notch 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (69.9%) versus RBs this year (69.9%).

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 7th-best safety corps in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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