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Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+107/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

Leonard Fournette has run a route on 62.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to accumulate 4.9 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in football.

Leonard Fournette has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (-7.0 per game) than he did last season (3.0 per game).

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (75.3%) versus RBs this year (75.3%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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