Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

Leonard Fournette

NFL · Player Props

Leonard Fournette

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+107/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Leonard Fournette has run a route on 63.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to accrue 5.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a massive 10-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Leonard Fournette has put up a measly -6.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 2nd percentile among running backs.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.06 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the 9th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has given their QB just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Leonard Fournette Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow