My Account Log Out

reorder

Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys

Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+101/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -132.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 68.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Leonard Fournette has notched a puny -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 8th percentile among RBs.

Leonard Fournette's 17.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 22.3.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 26.0) vs. running backs this year.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their QB just 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

More Leonard Fournette Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™