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Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 67.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Leonard Fournette has run a route on 62.2% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • Leonard Fournette has put up a meager -5.0 air yards per game this year: just 3rd percentile among running backs.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have incorporated play action on a lowly 17.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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