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Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Leonard Fournette Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+327/-610).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +334 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +327.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.7 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Leonard Fournette has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 13.5% this year, which ranks him in the 87th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Leonard Fournette has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (-8.0 per game) than he did last season (3.0 per game).

The Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the least touchdowns through the air in the league to RBs: 0.00 per game this year.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 10th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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