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Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Leonard Fournette Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 6th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to accrue 19.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Leonard Fournette has been a more important option in his team's rushing attack this year (83.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (66.0%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 35.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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