Leonard Fournette Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Leonard Fournette

NFL · Player Props

Leonard Fournette

RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Leonard Fournette Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.0 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.0 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 4th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to garner 16.6 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.
Leonard Fournette has received 67.1% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 34.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New Orleans Saints defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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