Lawrence Cager Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Lawrence Cager

NFL · Player Props

Lawrence Cager

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 24, 2022 9:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Lawrence Cager Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has not been good when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.36 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.2% pass rate.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has given up the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 122.0) versus wide receivers this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64%) to WRs this year (64.0%).
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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