Lawrence Cager Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Lawrence Cager

NFL · Player Props

Lawrence Cager

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Lawrence Cager Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+113/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
The Detroit Lions defense has yielded the 6th-most receiving yards per game in football (166.0) versus wideouts this year.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in football (69%) to wide receivers this year (69.0%).
The Detroit Lions pass defense has displayed weak efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 9.42 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 46.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The New York Giants O-line has given their QB just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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