Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Laviska Shenault Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:00 PM UTC

Analysis

Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+401/-859).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.48 seconds per play.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in the NFL (67.5%) to WRs since the start of last season (67.5%).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has given up the most TDs through the air in the NFL to WRs: 1.45 per game since the start of last season.
The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks grade out as the 8th-worst group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Carolina Panthers have gone up against a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Laviska Shenault to be a less important option in his offense's passing game near the end zone this week (8.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (18.5% in games he has played).
The Carolina Panthers offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Carolina Panthers O-line has given their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.