Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Laviska Shenault Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Laviska Shenault Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+417/-917).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +418 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +417.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 25.65 seconds per play.
The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Carolina Panthers have risked going for it on 4th down 23.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Laviska Shenault to be a less important option in his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (7.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (19.2% in games he has played).
The Carolina Panthers offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Laviska Shenault grades out in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.0%).
The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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