Latavius Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Latavius Murray

NFL · Player Props

Latavius Murray

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Latavius Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the strong Bengals run defense has given up a mere 5.00 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 29th-smallest rate in the league.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's LB corps has been terrible this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The model projects the Bills to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
After making up 52.1% of his offense's carries last season, Latavius Murray has had a smaller role in the running game this season, currently sitting at only 19.9%.
As it relates to run support (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.
Latavius Murray has run for many fewer adjusted yards per game (21.0) this year than he did last year (55.0).

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