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Latavius Murray

Latavius Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

Latavius Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 61.0 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Latavius Murray has been a more important option in his offense's running game this year (45.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (33.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Latavius Murray has been among the worst running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.41 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense owns the 4th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.20 yards-per-carry.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best DT corps in football this year with their run defense.

The Denver Broncos have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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