Latavius Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Latavius Murray

NFL · Player Props

Latavius Murray

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Latavius Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.
Latavius Murray has been a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this season (46.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (33.5%).
The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Denver Broncos have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box vs. opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

More Latavius Murray Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow