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Latavius Murray

Latavius Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

Latavius Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Latavius Murray has been a more integral piece of his team's running game this year (47.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (33.5%).

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have run for the least yards in the NFL (just 84 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

The Tennessee Titans defensive ends rank as the 2nd-best DE corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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