Latavius Murray Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Latavius Murray

NFL · Player Props

Latavius Murray

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Latavius Murray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bills to pass on 61.3% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in football.
Latavius Murray has been a less important option in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for just 35.2% of snaps compared to 52.3% last year.
When it comes to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.
Latavius Murray's 8.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies a material gain in his receiving proficiency over last season's 1.0 mark.

Favors Under

In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 29.17 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus running backs this year, yielding 4.91 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.
This year, the daunting Eagles pass defense has allowed the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing running backs: a paltry 4.9 YAC.
The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 6th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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