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Latavius Murray

Latavius Murray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Latavius Murray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.9% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Latavius Murray to notch 2.9 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
  • Latavius Murray has been a more integral piece of his team's pass game this year (8.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (2.9%).
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 8th-most receiving yards per game in football (40.0) vs. running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Latavius Murray has notched a meager -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 7th percentile among running backs.
  • Latavius Murray has posted a lot fewer receiving yards per game (1.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).

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