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Latavius Murray

Latavius Murray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Latavius Murray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Latavius Murray's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 78.6% to 87.8%.

The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in football (48.0) to RBs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Latavius Murray has posted a mere -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 4th percentile among running backs.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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