Latavius Murray Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Latavius Murray

NFL · Player Props

Latavius Murray

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Latavius Murray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Latavius Murray's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 78.6% to 87.8%.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in football (48.0) to RBs this year.

Favors Under

Latavius Murray has posted a mere -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 4th percentile among running backs.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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