Latavius Murray Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Latavius Murray

NFL · Player Props

Latavius Murray

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 27, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Latavius Murray Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+106/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -151 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Tampa Bay's DE corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bills to be the 3rd-least run-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 32.3% run rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
After making up 52.1% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Latavius Murray has been less involved in the rushing attack this season, currently sitting at just 19.9%.
When talking about run support (and the importance it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.

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