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Latavius Murray

Latavius Murray Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Latavius Murray Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 8th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 43.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-fastest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.

Latavius Murray has been a more integral piece of his team's run game this year (54.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (33.5%).

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Broncos will be rolling with backup QB Brett Rypien in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.2% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The Denver Broncos have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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