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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+102/-132).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.7 per game) this year.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

With an excellent rate of 1.67 per game (87th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been as one of the leading touchdown passers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (52.2% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.22 seconds per snap.

In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is expected by the predictive model to have the fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 30.5.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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