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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.

Lamar Jackson has been among the top touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 2.23 per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

This year, the shaky New York Giants defense has given up a massive 74.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

The Giants safeties profile as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 52.3% red zone pass rate.

The model projects Lamar Jackson to throw 26.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the league.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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