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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-107/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Lamar Jackson has been one of the top TD throwers in football this year, averaging a terrific 2.25 per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.9% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 51.0% red zone pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).

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