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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year.

Lamar Jackson has been one of the top touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 2.27 per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 52.1% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.

The model projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.5 passes in this contest, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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