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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a terrific 69.5% Adjusted Completion% (85th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson has been as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL.

Lamar Jackson has been among the top touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 2.40 per game while grading out in the 100th percentile.

The Pittsburgh cornerbacks profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 3 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 51.2% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 8th-least pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (52.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Ravens.

At the present time, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is projected by our trusted projection set to total the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 30.5.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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