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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 20

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 137.0 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.

Lamar Jackson's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 62.9% to 68.0%.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the NFL vs. the Houston Texans defense this year (71.5% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 53.7% red zone pass rate.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased run volume.

The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to throw 31.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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