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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-215).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.

The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.1% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.

THE BLITZ projects Lamar Jackson to attempt 31.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.

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